The Blog · Tested, not told

Strategies tested, receipts attached

Every performance number in these articles renders live from our backtesting engine — never typed into the prose — and the losing tests are published next to the winning ones. Research and education, not financial advice.

Strategy Tests

Famous setups from trading Twitter and YouTube, run through a real engine on decades of data — winners and losers published alike.

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Does the Golden Cross actually work? We backtested 10 years

The 50/200-day moving-average cross is the most famous signal in retail trading. We ran it through a real engine on a decade of daily bars — live results inside.

2026-08-05 · 7 min read

MACD crossover strategy: a decade of results, no cherry-picking

Every MACD tutorial shows the same three perfect trades. We backtested the crossover on a decade of daily bars instead — here's what the full record looks like.

2026-08-05 · 7 min read

Donchian channel breakout on megacaps: the full backtest

Buy 20-day highs, exit 10-day lows — the rule set behind the Turtles, applied to today's largest stocks. Live backtest results, drawdowns included.

2026-08-05 · 6 min read

How-To

Using the lab well: building strategies in plain English, reading results honestly, and avoiding the classic backtesting traps.

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How to backtest a trading strategy without writing code

A practical walkthrough: turning a setup you saw online into exact rules, running it on 20 years of data, and reading the results without fooling yourself.

2026-08-05 · 8 min read

Behind the Ledger

Why forward testing is the only unfakeable proof — and what our own public track records are teaching us.

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VWAP reversion intraday: the backtest that lost — published anyway

We backtested a 15-minute VWAP reversion strategy and it lost. We published it anyway and put it on our live forward-test ledger. Here's the whole record.

2026-08-05 · 6 min read

Backtest vs forward test: why edges disappear when they go live

A backtest can be accidentally (or deliberately) flattering. A forward test on frozen rules can't. The difference explains most vanishing edges.

2026-08-05 · 8 min read

Market Data Deep-Dives

Questions you can only answer with a lot of bars: seasonality, pullbacks, breadth, and what the data actually supports.

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First articles in this category are in the pipeline. Until then, the raw material lives on the markets pages.